Sorry that i did not give reasons to back up what i was saying in relation to the concept, but i already did give them several times on this thread so i did not want to repeat it again, but i will as you asked for it.Quantum wrote: ↑23 May 2022, 12:23Please can you give a technical reason for that?
It's well reasoned that if your car performs well at Barca it will do well at the majority of tracks on the calendar.
I see more reasons to be optimistic if the car performs well here.
Also, Given the W13 is different from both RB and Ferrari concepts, you give absolutely no reason to back up what you are saying. The Ferrari and RB concepts are different between themselves.
The porpoising of the W13 has been addressed and was no worse than Ferrari.
The Mercedes also is pretty much in raw spec right now. The floor has been stiffened, and the rest of the car has not gone the usual refinements we have seen from RB and Ferrari.
It is also carrying far more weight. The team have now got a stable base to throw developments at it, and I cant help but think throwing opinions around without even giving a reason why.
My reasons why the W13 could eventually challenge RB, as I feel at this stage it's already quick enough to challenge Ferrari in Sainz hands at least.
Weightloss. More weight to lose relative RB and Ferrari.
Further floor developments. Having suffered the most, they have the most to gain.
Staged development upgrade path. Ferrari had a big upgrade package and Merc closed a large portion of the gap with less of performance upgrade and more of a problem solving exercise.
But first of all i want to make clear that it is possible that Mercedes indeed made a step forward and they may have even solved their porpoising problem with the new floor. You are definetely right that usually a car that performs well in Barcelona does well at the majority of tracks.
But - no car had porpoising in Barcelona. So either everyone has solved the porpoising issue, or there was another reason. One reason could be that the teams know Barcelona and had so much data from preseason testing that every team knew exactly what to do to avoid it. So there are two possibilities - all teams have solved it, or if we go to another track - porpoising will be back. And other than Ferrari - Mercedes lose laptime because of porpoising.
And like i already said - Mercedes was still 6-8 tenths slower than Leclerc. So i do not think they really closed the gap to Ferrari. You say Mercedes is in a pretty rough spec still. But its a fact that Ferrari brought their first upgrades to Barcelona, but Mercedes brought upgrades to other tracks as well. So if one car still is in a more rough spec than the other, its the Ferrari. Also Ferraris upgrade package at Barcelona was not as big as Mercedes. I do not want to get into an argumentation if its true that if one suffers the most, he can gain the most, because i do not think this is true. If it would be that easy Williams could make the biggest steps of all teams, and thats definetely not the case. As i do not know the real numbers in terms of weight, no one does, i also do not want to take this as an argument for one team will having an advantage.
At the end of the day i still think Mercedes concept is inferior. They lack the pressurisation zone under the sidepod inlet that protrudes forward and "feeds" the floor. Thats a disadvantage in my opinion. Also the drive the floor by getting as much air as possible over the top of the diffusor. Thats why they have their "zero-pods". But because of these pods, they sacrificed rear-and beamwing performance, because they need to package their cooling system higher. So they have a higher CoG, a huge airbox and a really big engine-cover. So they get less air to the rear-and beamwing. But these devices create more upwash than any other device. And Ferrari and Red Bull use this upwash to drive their floors. Next to the pressurisation zone, thats another thing where Ferrari and Red Bull has an advantage, because to drive your floor with the two strongest upwash devices, is superior to drive your floor with air over the diffusor. So - technically, thats the reasons why i think Mercedes concept is inferior to Ferrari and Red Bull.
But, one more but : this does not mean i am right! Maybe Mercedes has found a way or a trick how their concept works better than Ferraris and Red Bulls concepts, even if i could not imagine how this would be possible, but their engineers are among the best on the planet!
But anyway - they next two races will prove if Mercedes really has made a big step forward. Untill this has happened, all i say is - do not get overenthusiastic because of one single performance. The gap to Lerclerc was still 6-8 tenths. So - not really much less than before. No cars had porpoising in Barcelona. So either everyone has solved it, or this was only because the teams knew what to do because of all the data in preseason-testing. And Barcelona is a well known track where especially Mercedes always performed extraordinally. And this year the Set-Up can make a huge difference and only the next one or two races will if there really was a big step performance-wise, or if this was track-dependant.