While Ferrari have improved massively since 2014, I think it cannot be denied that Mercedes need to make mistakes for them to come into the picture as far as competing for the championships is concerned. DNF's in today's day and age of F1 are few and far in between. I don't think we'll see as chaotic a 'dry race' as we saw yesterday for the remainder of the year. I hope I'm wrong, but realistically speaking I expect Mercedes to get their act together with the starts. Even if they keep having poor starts, on wide circuits where there is plenty of overtaking opportunity they should easily manage 1-2's for most of the races. I don't think Hamilton will bottle the way he did again in the season, he's too good a driver for that.wickedz50 wrote:With a cracker of a car easily monstrous beast among the rest in the present era formula, Merc crew should be able to manage the drivers effectively. I just hope things do not turn into 2007 again. Ferrari will catch up eventually sooner or later and so will others too in matter of months. What surprise will the summer break bring back to this year's championship needs to be seen?Schuttelberg wrote:Toto Wolff said that there were far too many laps to do on the option, so the prime tyres were heating in the pot. Plus, Rosberg felt he was more comfortable on the prime.max_speed wrote:yesterday rosberg proved why he will never win a world championship. on radio he is being told that hamilton will switch to prime and immediately he responds i too want prime . what a stupid guy ?. hamilton is reducing gap and gap to front is building but in last stint you want prime. its like a child goes for candy and another child asks for same.
Personally, I think he was just trying to make sure he finishes ahead of Hamilton and dissolve all variants. But, I share your opinion that he should have gone for the win. Not for the first time that he and Mercedes have demonstrated that once they lose the lead or are pushed out of their comfort zone, they really seem to capitulate. At the moment, Mercedes have a distinct advantage in terms of speed on Saturday and Sunday. But, I feel that if Ferrari can close the gap a little on them, Vettel might start bothering Rosberg.
A few more incidents like Hungary means more headache for Merc crew. On the current point system a 42 point lead can evaporate away very fast and not to forget the double point finish at Abu Dhabi. 2 more wins for Ferrari back to back with some DNF for Merc team (yet to happen this season), enough for Merc to hand back the trophy to Ferrari.
What I could deduce from yesterday was that the Ferrari is a better car in clear air, and if they have track position on the Mercs, then they can preserve their tyres and keep the faster Mercs at bay. Obviously, what I'm saying is very track specific. I would also not be so sure that Ferrari can eventually catch up. I don't think the Mercedes has used any of it's engine tokens, while Ferrari have and as we saw in Canada, the Mercedes minor upgrade was able to trump the Ferrari major upgrade. From what I understand, they are able to run their cars on 'qualifying mode' longer than before without using the tokens or making the car unreliable. But, no one knows what's in the pipe line and while we all hope that Ferrari can catch up soon to make races consistently exciting, it's a situation where we wait and watch. At least there is hope.
Having said all this, Mercedes definitely aren't looking as immortal as last year. While the job they've done with their PU and chassis is one that should be lauded, their strategy team is one that could learn from the likes of Red Bull. This, even applies to Ferrari. I for one, didn't understand why Ferrari didn't opt to run the harder compound in the second stint yesterday. They had no reason to worry about Hamilton, as Vettel had a 15+ second lead over him + free air while Hamilton battled the pack, including his own team mate and Raikkonen. With Rosberg on the harder tyre, they also protected themselves from any SC periods, there by covering off any threat from Rosberg over the race distance. However, Rosberg and Mercedes scored an own goal by fitting the primes on Rosberg in his final stint, thus balancing the apple cart. If, Ferrari are to compete with Mercedes, they need to start reacting to such situations better. Mercedes on the other hand seem absolutely paralyzed the second they see a SC board.
Mercedes also have a serious issue with their second driver in Rosberg. While at the moment he seems like the perfect person to partner Hamilton, I think his weaknesses will begin to magnify once there's some competition from other teams. Firstly, to my absolute surprise, specially after last year, Rosberg has been out-qualified 9-1. What's worse is that IIRC, he's been done so by a margin of more than 0.3 seconds 5-6 times. Sometimes, the gaps have exceeded half a second.
Secondly, Rosberg lacks a serious amount of race craft. His tyre choices in tricky circumstances are never inspired and he seems more inclined to know Hamilton's tactics. Now, every sport has a certain degree of strategy and mind games to it, but Rosberg takes it to another level. Let's face it, on pure speed he's not going to beat Hamilton. I doubt anyone could. But, over the course of the season, if you grab all your opportunities, you will give yourself a chance against even the very best. Rosberg has himself admitted that he's working on race craft, but in my book, he needs to stop thinking about the gap to Hamilton in every corner and actually try to WIN races when the opportunity presents itself. The gap and the points will take care of themselves.
Lastly, Hamilton is not devoid of some goof ups. But, he's one of the best we have when it comes to wheel to wheel stuff. Yesterday, was the perfect example of a weekend where Hamilton makes winning championships difficult for himself and instead of capitalizing on it, Rosberg got himself into a clumsy situation. Apart from Bahrain this year, where his passes were decisive and sharp, in an equal battle against great drivers you get the feeling that Rosberg will either relent, or break a front wing. I don't know how much work he's been putting in, but I don't think race craft is taught. It's learnt in the karting days, developed in higher series and by the time you're at the stage he is at, you're making the perfect judgement calls.
I don't think the alarm bells are ringing at Mercedes yet, I don't think Ferrari are anywhere near where they want to be, but you get the feeling that the guys at Brackley are getting a bit arrogant and full of themselves. And in sport, when that begins to happen it's generally the first step towards the fall.