Top 3 performance is so close that anything can swing the balance, tires, driver having a bad day, any little thing can mean 1st or 6th.
Driving to a delta is an act of cowardice
3 stop it
, here a 2 stop is a must, the degradation demands it. If there are safety cars pitting is a must as well, the pace advantage is too great to pass up.
Also it's going to be interesting, it's going to be extremely windy the next two days(40km/h). Wind is coming in from NNW so blowing SSE that means huge cross wind through the straights, tail wind down the castle section. That downhill left hander is going to be very tricky with the wind, as will the high speed turns in the final sector. The cross wind will also affect the 90 degree left at the end of straight.