donskar wrote:conceptual wrote:
Does anyone feel that we are going to see the manufacturers (BMW, Renault, Mercedes, Toyota, and possibly Ferrari) end up ONLY supplying powertrains to an entire grid of privateers?
Can't see it -- at least not from Ferrari. Racing is central to them -- and a key marketing tool.
For the others, it might be just a simple question: will their investment yield sufficient ROI in terms of marketing?
There's also a large potential flaw in your scenario: it wouldn't be long before Mercedes (just as an example) began giving a discount to a favored customer to help ensure success; then comes technical assistance; then money under the table . . . You can fill out the rest of the progression.
How keep "privateers" private?
Well, I can see a few things here...
If the manufacturers went to powertrain only, the fixed cost of engines would remain the same, but they would be able to develop the technology again, like pushing KERS to the max.
Ferrari can go racing an aweful lot, since it would probably end up supporting 5 privateer teams. Instead of the $700M that they spend to put their car ahead of all others, they would mathmatically have a better chance of success with 10 engines in each Grand Prix. I'm sure that some teams might find certain favor amongst the powertrain manufacturers (winning DOES tend to endear a supplier), but on the whole, with a fixed budget, Ferrari would be better served by branding on 10 cars (more TV exposure), increase their chances of winning, and not ever feel the embarassment of being beaten by a junior team (Monza 2008). And if all else fails, they can blame losing on the privateer, because their engine would only be part of the total package, where if the Ferrari team loses, or puts on a circus (Singapore 2008), they are rightfully picked upon by the media, and that is NOT good for PR.
I brought this up a long time ago, by way of saying that the manufacturers make the rolling chassis, and the privateers buy them, and then develop the aero themselves. It was laughed at quite extensively, but for a team to operate for $30M, they may end up doing just that!