dans79 wrote:By my rough math Lewis needs to win 3 of the renaming races, and finish in front of Nico in the other 2 to take the championship, assuming no more engine penalties.
dans79 wrote:3 wins brings the points gap down to 2, and to 10ths with nico 11 ties it. Lewis would win the tie breaker because he has more mins.
No, the math is good. I am just looking at things half empty at the moment. The alternate way of looking at it, would be that Rosberg needs one more win to shift the odds considerably into his favour, because it would mean Lewis can no longer win the championship himself.
I.e. Rosberg wins one more race to Hamilton 2nd and the point gap will be 30 with 4 races left (4 * 7 point diff between 1st and 2nd = 28 points).
This more or less match point for Rosberg.