That depends how you quantify better - if you said it would be a couple of tenths per lap quicker if all else were equal then I'd probably agree that this was plausible. If you claim half a second or more then I'd posit that were implausible.beelsebob wrote:By asserting RedBull's aero/chassis is the best, no one is saying that Merc's is not good. It's plain as day that Merc's is good, but I'm confident than RedBull's is better.
Sure there are lots of column inches having a hard on over Red Bull's chassis and how great it must be. But equally many of those columns were predicting after Friday free practice that Red Bull was closing in on Mercedes in performance terms. In the very next practice session we saw that wasn't the case. Straight line speed is a very poor indicator given the two different aero solutions and approaches, as we've seen in past years - look at the Torro Rosso's straight line speed for example, in FP3 he was right there with the Mercs.
There was a pattern last year whereby Red Bull, Ferrari and especially McLaren all had better Friday performance relative to Mercedes than on Saturday. At the time I put this down to their simulators giving them a better base line setup and Merc needing real world data to set up their FRIC system accurately, compounded with running on lower engine settings. Given the night and day difference in tyre usage from Friday to the race for Mercedes I would guess that this still holds some truth.
I genuinely believe that all else being equal Mercedes would be broadly up there with Red Bull and that it would ebb and flow between them from circuit to circuit. That Renault engine isn't anywhere near as bad now as people made out - that is evident from Torro Rosso's straight line speed and the launch from the grid that RBR had relative to the Ferrari. They may be having to dial it down for large parts of the race for reliability, and its unrefined software may be costing them a bit of drivability, but when they push it's a solid performer yet Mercedes still have a huge advantage in F1 terms.