One should not forget that the target is not to save 10-20% but to save 50%. So F1 race fuel is projected to go down to 75 kg per race by 2018. The new formula is supposed to bring instant saving of 25%.
Naturally the driver for more efficient race cars is marketing. It is the marketing of the manufacturers but also the marketing of the FiA, FOTA and FOM. They all want F1 research and development to contribute to fuel saving technologies that can be used in road cars. Sponsors want that type of image as well. F1 needs a green image in addition to the juvenile VROOOMMM ideology. VROOOMMM is nice to have but it is even nicer if it fits with the global needs for fuel efficient transportation.
Nobody seriously believes that 2013 KERS will be restricted as the 2009 KERS was. KERS will have to make a big contribution and that is why a 2.3 MJ/lap target is much more realistic than a 400 kJ/lap target.
This is the list of efficiency technologies that I see:
- downsizing and reduction of cylinder count
- turbo charging or turbo compounding with electric assisted turbo charging
- throttle less engine control
- spray guided, high pressure direct fuel injection with outward opening piezo injectors
- lower rpm design with lower bore/stroke ratios
- variable valve timing and stroke
- stratified injection at partial loads
- electrification of ancillaries
- KERS from all wheels with true dual torque
- HERS
- low drag and low downforce aero with movable devices
It will take some time to get to the target but there may be other things we cannot see today that will bring performance at lower energy use.