Well that's rather the point of making sure your tyre/engine/chassis/aero sim correlation is on point, hence all the flow vis, and long runs for tyre deg - if they are you don't need to run flat out, you just need a few data points that are close.mrluke wrote:
+1.
If the first time you try turning everything up to maximum attack is Q3 you are going to be pretty stuffed if it doesn't work. Also you would have no time to tune the setup of your car / PU for this condition.
I think what we actually see time and again is that the top times from testing are actually genuine "how fast will it go" times. I suspect that Massa's recent lap was Williams testing their ultimate pace.
I'm amazed how many people on here are surprised about something that's happened probably as far back as I can remember in F1. This is exactly why most of the pre-season analysis concentrates on long run times.
It's very easy to correlate, go and look at the gaps from the front runners to the back of the grid in qualifying. Then go back and look at the testing time differences and see how much smaller the gap is than it actually turned out to be...
Red Bull, Williams, Merc and Mclaren have all already said they're not bolting race-spec parts on until practice in Melbourne.
edit - even just flicking back over last years testing times, we have Kimi 9/10ths of a second faster than a certain Mr. Hamilton.
Come qualifying it was 1.2 seconds in Hamiltons favour.
We have Hulkenberg setting the same times as Rosberg in testing. In qualifying he's 1.6 seconds away...
Williams are setting times on par with Mercedes, guess what, come qualifying? Yes, 1.6 seconds per lap again.
Anyone setting store in testing laptimes as being definitive or flat out needs their head checking.