You're still forgetting that Mercedes also went with softs for their last stint. Leclerc only needed to undercut Russell in order to get P2. If Leclerc gets by with an undercut, Russell is not passing him again with a one lap tyre offset on the same compound. Norris is definitely not passing both Russell and Leclerc if they get on the softs with fewer laps to go.Emag wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 19:21I am fairly certain Ferrari started with the mediums because they would have liked to try the 1-stop and go to the hards later. But when the hards turned out to be sh*t, they pulled Leclerc in and put him on the mediums again for the 2-stopper.bananapeel23 wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 19:15Sorry, it was a typo. I meant M-S-S. I think Leclerc was saving tyres behind Russell or waiting for the perfect time to go for a massive push lap and undercut, knowing that Mercedes would also go onto a set of softs.Emag wrote: ↑13 Apr 2025, 19:11
I don't know what Ferrari plan was initially, but before the safety car, Leclerc was on the mediums, not softs.
Pointless to speculate, but Charles didn't have the pace to overtake Russell even with a 7 lap delta during the second stint. I doubt he would be able to get it done on track on the final stints even if the safety car doesn't interfere.
They would have been on the softs for the final stint while everyone else would have been on the mediums. Leclerc would have had good pace for 5-6 laps and then would fall off the cliff. Russell managed it, but his pace was horrible. He finished 15 seconds behind Oscar in the end.
I don't think Ferrari had anything better than P3 in hand here, because Russell had really good pace. Leclerc wasn't managing, his pace just fizzled out, couldn't get closer to Russell on the second stint once the tire delta faded out. Of course, the safety car ruined whatever chances they had of getting Russell, but their options were really limited to begin with.
After going M-M they either push the middle stint long to go onto softs, or have a normal middle stint length but go onto hards. Both really bad options. They would have lost a lot of time if they went long on the middle stint.
Leclerc himself clearly seems very disappointed with the safety car. He seemed to think he was reeling Russell in before the safety car, which implies that he was indeed saving tyres.