etusch wrote:kooleracer wrote:
I think Mercedes might have a bigger lead than most people think. I think that Mercedes has a 0.4-0.6sec in the pocket compared to Ferrari. The Mercedes steering input are much more controlled, Bottas is mostly taking single jabs at the corner and the cars is less twitchy (nervous) than the Ferrari.
I don't know how someone can know rev level and fuel load from videos. I don't know how you find out 0.4- 0.6 sec in the pocket.
I don't think merc still leading. But if you calculation is true I am sure merc is behind Ferrari.
1.18.634 ferrari
1.19.310 merc.
There is more than 0.6. You can say because fuel load merc can go faster. But ferrari also can go faster. This season is the season merc beated by two team. Redbul and ferrari
Fuel loads have a significant impact on lap times. Mercedes consistently runs heavier fuel loads. You learn much more about the car that way. Ferrari, on the other hand, run considerably lighter. You can get a pretty good idea of how much fuel a car is running based on stint length and pace.
According to Auto Motor Sport:
Mercedes turned most of their laps with plenty of fuel on board. With respect to Bottas' 1.19.310 lap, after adjustments for fuel load and conservative power unit settings are made, it was calculated that a lap time of
1.18.0, or even slightly quicker, would have been possible.
That estimate/calculation did not account for broken/battered aerodynamic components. Nor did it take into consideration the fact that the car had not been "setup" or optimized for Bottas in any way. Neither Hamilton nor Bottas did much setup work at all during testing. Most of the work was purely data collection.
http://www.auto-motor-und-sport.de/form ... 52819.html
In sum, it is likely that Ferrari has a little extra in its pocket. However, with Mercedes opting to run heavy and "turned down" during testing, it is very likely that Mercedes has a considerable chunk of time in its pocket.
From what I've read, Mercedes still has a pace advantage over Ferrari, but it may be only be 3/4 tenths come Melbourne. There is also a source indicating that Mercedes was the fastest in terms of long run/race pace. Trying to track that down.