I borrowed a picture from this thread, showing the Red Bull front wing obviously raked; and another from F1fanatic without the rake from as close a perspective as I could find, and tried to contour the noses and the wings by hand.
It is nothing sophisticated, I just used powerpoint, so please, if someone has the time, the inclination, a better software and better pictures, by all means, improve on this work. This comparison is only as good as the precision of the (hand drawn) contours, and while one picture is made from exactly the height of the nose, the other is taken from a a slightly elevated view-point as it is made clars by the top of the front wheels. In the second I tried to follow the profile of the nose wall closest to the camera, but it is blurry at some points and I might well have deviated a bit from the target.
Anyways, enough talk, let's go to the point.
The areas chosen for the comparison:
I used green for the "legal" shape and red for the one that is "bending" the rules.
Zooms of the fits, judge how good (or bad) the contours are by yourself:
Now the overlay:
I got the nose tips with a slightly different shape. It could be that they used different nosecones, but I am more prone to blame my hand-drawn contours.
Anyways:
This wing is not simply pivoting at the struts. There might be some of that too, but the whole nose cone is bending down like a fishing rod. The wing, at least to a large extent, largely follows. So pure downforce is bending down the nose tip, drag wouldn't do that. (Edit: I guess downforce plus a lot of drag can also do that...).
It is perfectly possible that drag is also bending the wing at the struts, but from these contours, I don't dare to take any conclusion in that direction.
Rivals, not enemies.