2024 Aston Martin | Aramco F1 Team

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Rodak
Rodak
35
Joined: 04 Oct 2017, 03:02

Re: 2024 Aston Martin | Aramco F1 Team

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diffuser wrote:
15 Oct 2024, 15:17
peewon wrote:
15 Oct 2024, 05:02
Even if the current regulations were continued for another 5 years, I would at best put it at 50% chance for AMR to win multiple races consistently let alone title. Why? Because we just havent seen them do it. Let alone the fact that the new regs are mainly about the PU,. Did people forget that Newey was at RB from 2014-2020 and RB didnt come close to winning a title.
Well considering there are 10 teams, all things being equal, there is a 1 in 10 chance of winning
any 1 race(10% or 0.1). Chances of winning two in a row are (0.1)*(0.1) = .01 or 1%.
This isn't a lottery, this is racing and all things are NOT equal. Having said that, there will be two or three teams who get it right and the chances of two in a row increase dramatically; unfortunately I don't think it will be Aston Martin will be in that mix but fingers crossed.

Rikrikrik
Rikrikrik
0
Joined: 01 Nov 2023, 16:17

Re: 2024 Aston Martin | Aramco F1 Team

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looks the same front wing or not? aparently, no new front wing.
Image

User avatar
diffuser
231
Joined: 07 Sep 2012, 13:55
Location: Montreal

Re: 2024 Aston Martin | Aramco F1 Team

Post

Rodak wrote:
17 Oct 2024, 02:19
diffuser wrote:
15 Oct 2024, 15:17
peewon wrote:
15 Oct 2024, 05:02
Even if the current regulations were continued for another 5 years, I would at best put it at 50% chance for AMR to win multiple races consistently let alone title. Why? Because we just havent seen them do it. Let alone the fact that the new regs are mainly about the PU,. Did people forget that Newey was at RB from 2014-2020 and RB didnt come close to winning a title.
Well considering there are 10 teams, all things being equal, there is a 1 in 10 chance of winning
any 1 race(10% or 0.1). Chances of winning two in a row are (0.1)*(0.1) = .01 or 1%.
This isn't a lottery, this is racing and all things are NOT equal. Having said that, there will be two or three teams who get it right and the chances of two in a row increase dramatically; unfortunately I don't think it will be Aston Martin will be in that mix but fingers crossed.
It does put his 50% in perspective, doesn't it?