basti313 wrote:turbof1 wrote:basti313 wrote:
Why? I think the strategy was perfect. Merc had no chance to pit that early and not the pace (at least 1.5, maybe 2 sec advantage) at the end to attack the Bulls if the undercut had worked. The signs were really good: Right before the stop, the Mercs were slower than the Bulls and were running into traffic. The problem was, that the Bulls got really slow on the last set of tires. Ric could only do one 24 lap, the rest was in the 25s. On the other hand the Mercs, that seemed to struggle into 26s, could get back to pace and do 24s.
And what did they loose? There was no chance for Vet to overtake Ric with that small tire deficit. Ves did not look different, he was on a fast strategy as his laptimes dropped before his stop.
Except it put Verstappen behind a Raikkonen with old tyres, completely whiping out any advantage of the undercut and even allowing vettel to jump him, throwing away a 3-4. If not for that mistake Red Bull would be in front of Ferrari now. So yeah: bollocks strategy.
I thought your problem is the second stop...
Ves had a 21s gap on Rai to come out in front of him only for two laps. But then the problem was that Hulk and Gro would have been in the way. I think it was pure luck for Vet, that the two slowest SS runners pitted in the same lap. After they pitted Rai was too fast (2sec faster). So it was only one lap to go and they missed it. With two cars to pit they always had to choose...either they put Ric behind Hulk or leave Ves in danger for the undercut.
The Bulls did not have the pace to hold a 3-4. This was not strategy.
I mean the whole of all stops were basically bad calls. Regarding the first stop: I know the intent was undercutting, and for the matter they did reasonable with Ricciardo. Verstappen however got the poor end of it. Red Bull should have known that above else they could not get stuck behind Raikkonen.
The second stop was too early. I don't recall exactly the gap in laps there was between the ferrari pitstops and the red bull pitstops, but it was I think 6-10 laps. Yes, track position is important, but so is having a small enough offset in tyre life. Verstappen had to break off Raikkonen's wing in order to keep his position. Being in such a riskful position surely cannot be the intend. In the end Red Bull did not loose out there, but I still feel it was way too much risk as they could have still undercutted a few laps later, which would have made quite a difference.
I know this sounds quite like hindsight. However, if you are going to sacrifice tyre life for undercutting you need to use some foresight. It's not difficult to calculate safe margins in order not be stuck behind a car on old tyres, or to have a reasonable tyre life expectancy in your final stint. Even on a circuit like the Hungaroring you can overtake when the difference in tyre life is big enough.