Mandrake wrote:lebesset wrote:I expect this season to play out as another 2009 , the drivers at mercedes are good enough to exploit their advantage while it lasts so that , although the championships look to be theirs , we can expect some tough competition from ferrari and renault engined cars as the season progresses
I hope it's going to be like that, but the situation is fundamentally different. In 09, Teams had to find downforce to match the BGP. This year, Mercedes has a 2 secs advantage mostly on engine. RedBull has a similarly good chassis, but the engine is not on par (software and hardware I believe).
With too limited testing and frozen engine hardware, I do not think that we will see a change in the fight for the lead for the rest of the season. Will the rest get closer? Probably. Will Merc be challenged for the win? Only if they struggle technically...
as you say , RBR already has a similarly good chassis , maybe even better
but ferrari and renault have history as good engine manufacturers , and although in theory engines have to be as homologated , in reality the FIA have absolute discretion to allow changes ..to improve reliability for example ; so , as has happened in the past , I have no doubt that we shall see major improvements from both of the other engines ...as a by product of reliability changes or cost saving of course ! [ insert nod and wink ]
the FIA could never have forseen such a disparity of engine performance , and it is not in the interest of F1 to let it continue
incidentally , could any of the mercedes engined teams get appreciably closer ? imho only McLaren have the resources , maybe if they can get a new aerodynamicist it will be possible , lol
to the optimist a glass is half full ; to the pessimist a glass is half empty ; to the F1 engineer the glass is twice as big as it needs to be