I'm not so sure. Let us have a look at history to see when races have been called off.SeijaKessen wrote:I think unfortunately this race is going to occur. We're less than 48 hours from qualifying...I can't imagine it being stopped at this point.
From a biography of Ecclestone by Terry Lovell.
So one thing is if public opinion stops the money flow from TV by refusing to broadcast the race.Apparently, ignoring the political pressures and flak that was coming from all sides, Ecclestone continued to insist the South African Grand Prix was on – until, that is, several international television networks, facing internal pressure from unions, announced they would not be broadcasting the race. It was only then, when the race was faced with the loss of all-important television coverage, that Ecclestone announced the Grand Prix would not take place. The power of television succeeded, it seemed, where all other efforts had failed.
The other example was Bahrain 2011. That race was called off by the Al-Khalifas themselves because they feared that the international public could witness the bloody suppression of the peaceful Pearl revolution when 1000 tanks, murder, torture and bloodshed would have been exposed to the cameras of the international TV reporters.
It is quite clear that only a hand full of politically aware fans care what happened in Bahrain in the last fourteen months. So the South African mechanism via a TV broadcasting boycott will not happen.
The conclusion is that only an embarrassing incident closing in on the F1 TV cameras will cause the other mechanism to work. If the royals are forced to surround the BIC with troops and tanks that will be attacked by thousands of Molotov cocktail throwing Bahrainis they will pull the plug. That is not what they want us to see. Equally if the track gets invaded on Saturday or Sunday by demonstrators then Charly will have no alternative but stop the race.
So we see it is now practically an internal Bahrain affair to determine if the race will run or not. I wonder how long it will take for someone to take bets what will happen.