venkyhere wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 09:27
See what Lando does on his outlap with the S he had - he is gunning it like anything, while Lewis on his S and Max on his H were far gentler. Lando's outlap was 3-4s faster than them. This is with the extra 2s he lost not stopping properly in the pitbox. That means Lando was hammering the tyre 6s faster than Lewis and Max in his outlap. That's where he lost his tyres. The decision by pitwall wasn't bad (to go for used S) and it was not a case of "Lewis made the S last more than what it was capable" - none of that. Lando chewed his tyres and paid the price.
mwillems wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 15:00
You can see in the data you have produced that the track was evolving at a rate of a couple of seconds per lap by that point as it dried up. Lando stopped one lap later and his outlap was 2.549 seconds faster than Hamilton and 3.471 seconds faster than Max, who's hard tyres would be slower to warm up. Both of their outlaps were one lap before.
All well within tolerance of an evolving track and I don't think indicative of anything else, in my opinion.
add +2.xx to those numbers because that was the duration spent extra, vide bad positioning in the pitbox and was compensated by Lando in his outlap. That's why I think he overdrove the tyres like hell in his outlap, taking the life out of them. In my mind, the McLaren is the kindest-to-tyres car on the grid and there is no way 'tyre-whisperer' Hamilton could have more than compensated for tyre life superiority of the MCL38 over W15. Unless Lando destroyed his set prematurely; which is what he did, actually.
AR3-GP wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 19:08
In my opinion it was not just the outlap which did damage. Lando set 2 fastest laps of the race in a competition with Verstappen who was on a more durable tire. Hamilton never troubled the fastest lap of the race.
mwillems wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 19:22
I'm sure he was in general pushing a little bit more for that last stint, but of course he had to, he was the one chasing. There was no point going on to softs to
not try to catch Hamilton and he had a reasonable margin to close with only limited laps.
It seems without a doubt that the tyres weren't able to give Lando what he needed, but he did absolutely need to push, that is unquestionable. I don't see that he was setting a blazing trail though. Ultimately, If the tyres can't push there was no point in using them, and that is what this comes back to, for me. Softs was the wrong choice and this for me is on the team, and not Lando nor his attempt to close the gap, which was the whole point of the softs, according to the team.
AR3-GP wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 19:29
Yes, it's a little bit of a catch 22 isn't it
![Laughing :lol:](./images/smilies/icon_lol.gif)
.
mwillems wrote: ↑10 Jul 2024, 19:58
Certainly Lando would be closer to the winner and no worse than third if the stop had gone well.
I agree though, it was a catch 22 for Lando as he had no way to get the performance he needed from the tyres.
But that's old news now, on to the next race and we get to have another go
After all the discussion from two pages before, we are again discussing the same topic -
'who made the used S v fresh M call ultimately' ?
I
still think it was the outlap and not the tyre decision per-se. Had Lando's outlap been 2 seconds slower, he would have kept the lead from Verstappen, before being in the DRS of Hamilton and passed Hamilton and driven away while the P2 fight was on behind him. The McLaren which has been seeing enhanced tyre life at the end of stints on any tyre, any circuit, any temperature, compared to any other car on the grid, suddenly couldn't become poor on a cold and drying track one fine day.
Stella (being the excellent TP that he is) will never blame the outlap, and will 'take one for the team' by saying it was really the M v S that lost the race for them. Because otherwise, it would mean psychological burial of their dear driver. Which I am happy that he didn't do. I am sure Lando realizes his folly.