the EDGE wrote: ↑09 Feb 2022, 17:28
Just_a_fan wrote: ↑09 Feb 2022, 17:24
godlameroso wrote: ↑09 Feb 2022, 17:18
Technically new rules, we are all amateurs until the cars run on track and we see what actually works and what doesn't. You can't just feed data to your AI, garbage in, garbage out. You need some real world data to start the optimization process.
So you think that the teams have absolutely no idea how their car will perform on track until the first test? Or do you just mean we onlookers in internet-land?
Many a teams car has not behaved as expected once on track, and they had previous data to go by. I certainly expect some nasty surprises in a few weeks for at least 1 team, if not more, and that could be any team quite frankly
I think sometimes a team thinks - this performance projection is great, we're going to right up there - and then gets on track and finds that others have found much better performance. At that point "correlation" is a great excuse rather than "we messed up and thought we'd done a great job when we hadn't".
I seem to remember back when the 2009 regs came in, McLaren were nowhere. They had a front wing with no outwash, etc., etc.. It was suggested by some in the know, that they hadn't realised what the inwash front wing was doing for them - I find it hard to believe but stranger things have happened - so they didn't consider outwash until they saw others using it. Much was made about the double diffuser, but it was the outwash front wing that really helped Brawn in early 2009. Even Red Bull had very little outwash in their front wing. Compare the RB5 midseason to the BGP01 in testing
The RedBull's front wing is hardly working the endplate at all. The Brawn's was all about the endplate. Brawn himself even said at the time "they're all looking at the wrong end of the car" when the double diffuser was being challenged.
Yes, others put on the double diffuser and found performance, but the front wing was what really gave Brawn the early season head start.
If you are more fortunate than others, build a larger table not a taller fence.