Over in the Tyres thread, I suggested that porpoising might be a problem because of the new tyres,and the restrictions on suspension components.
The teams pushed to have the taller sidewalls which will mean, as you say, that the spring rate of these new tyre will be very similar to the 13”. Add to that the increased mass and the removal of inerters etc., which were used to help control the relatively undamped unsprung elements, and I think we might see some problems with kerb riding and maybe some porpoising.
The rules seem to have written to explicitly make the suspension less capable. For example:
In addition, the following systems or configurations are not permitted:
a. Anyresponseofthesuspensionelementstobodyaccelerationsand/orangular acceleration of the rockers (e.g. any inerters, mass dampers, acceleration-sensitive valves in the dampers).
whilst lower profile than before still have relatively tall sidewalls and are likely to still be fairly soft. @stu pointed out that the air chamber volumes are very little changed.
Looking at the Ferrari video the majority of the movement appears to be at the rear. I assume that the downforce is lost at the COP and if the stiffness at front and rear were in proportion to the load the car would bounce rather than porpoise. So I’m guessing the rear is less stiff. The rear tyres are almost certainly radially softer than the fronts and the rear suspension is probably soft to aid traction.
To reduce this effect is probably straightforward. Reduce the exciting forces, raise ride height?, and make the rear stiffer, by higher tyre pressures or stiffer springs/dampers. But the teams won’t want to do that because lap times will go up.
So round and round they’ll go revising, aero and suspension until they get to a point where they get to a balance of porpoising and lap time they’re happy with.
Fortune favours the prepared; she has no favourites and takes no sides.
Truth is confirmed by inspection and delay; falsehood by haste and uncertainty : Tacitus