Sphere3758 wrote: ↑23 Feb 2024, 13:40
I just watched the end of the 2022 testing, all of sky pundits put Redbull unanimously on top above Ferrari.
Which definitely turned out to be completely false, atleast for Bahrain.
Well cmon...you know how it went after Bahrain...you do not test for a single race and if you do you screw the rest.
Sphere3758 wrote: ↑23 Feb 2024, 13:40
There is always a big bias based on previous season performance. So meaningful jumps/drops from teams which could disrupt the order, especially at the top, usually tends to get downplayed.
Also this is normal, isn't it? There is a big question mark on possible settings, fuel loads, setups, tires....and glory runs for whatever reason.
So the only sensible thing to do is to take last seasons performance as a benchmark. And from this point on you need a very good explanation why a team should jump in performance.
Taking this into account: I see that everything around McLaren is super quiet. Surprisingly quiet as they were the Nr2 at the end of last season over multiple tracks.
And I do not believe jet in the Ferrari jump. Maybe they again prepare a bit more towards Bahrain...but besides the move of Hamilton I see nothing convincing that they are close.