McLaren, Aston and Mercedes are at least as far away from Ferrari as is Ferrari from RedBull, if not more. McLaren, being the fastest among that pack, was not able to put even slight pressure on Ferrari in the races. Ferrari despite having issues of some sort in 3 of 4 races still comfortably ended the race as second fastest behind RedBull each time and is clearly ahead of anyone in the constructor standings.Seanspeed wrote: ↑12 Apr 2024, 18:38True, I'm not suggesting that every team will uniformly improve along with us, and I did suggest Ferrari could still make some level of leap forward.
But Red Bull in particular are pretty good at doing upgrades when they need to, so in a direct development race with them, starting from the backfoot, I'd say it will be extremely hard to actually catch up.
And your post also goes both ways - it's no guarantee Ferrari's upgrade will work, or at least work as well as expected, either. Just saying, if 2.5 tenths is what they actually achieve, I still expect things to be fairly similar to what are they now, where we're more closely racing with Mclaren, Aston and Mercedes than we are Red Bull. Mclaren seem to understand their car pretty well now and should have something significant for Europe, and of course Red Bull should have something as well. We cant just subtract 2.5 tenths from the current picture, cuz others will be improving, too.
As for Aston and Mercedes, at this point it’s delusional to consider them at the same level of Ferrari.
Regarding the upgrades, i consider Ferrari having the biggest potential to improve among others simply because that car with this concept is a youngster from a timeline point of view. Not only that, but Ferrari managed to clearly surpass McLaren over winter with a similar concept which McLaren have been developing for much longer.
RedBull has already brought their upgrade and it worked well. Whatever Ferrari brings next, the improvement can actually be substracted from the current picture, why not? Of course in case everything works as intended, but I don’t see why it shouldn’t. Ferrari has also improved in terms of correlation and upgrade effectiveness lately. They’ve not had correlation issues last season and I don’t expect any this season.