dia6olo wrote: ↑13 May 2024, 16:39
LionsHeart wrote: ↑13 May 2024, 16:29
BMMR61 wrote: ↑13 May 2024, 14:19
Last season as the car became a more competitive beast and Oscar got the full upgrades he started to put together some very good drives. He clearly has a high ceiling of performance - speed, temperament, intelligence and hard work are hallmarks that will mark him as at least a top six driver once he has learned the craft of Pirelli tyre management. In fact he's nearly there now, the timing of the safety car and the clash with Carlos were very unfortunate - he could realistically been the driver to collect the win. I'm glad it was left for Lando though as it will prolong a healthy team rivalry.
Much of the media have been falling all over McLaren after rubbishing them and their prospects - how quickly some change their tune. I think we should, Like Stella, not be quick to judge the Miami win as being a sign that McLaren are now fully competitive with RedBull. It was a very good start for the upgrades on a track that has not been a McLaren friendly one, my expectations are that Max will be back on top but we, and probably Ferrari, are going to be getting closer to him. Maybe very tight in qualifying and a couple of tenths off in the race, but I'm guessing. The front definitely seems to be stronger and the top speed more competitive.
I only found data from formula.uno that the team added 4 tenths of a second. It's hard to say for sure, but the team knows the exact figures, and Stella didn't tell us exactly how much. For the first 5 grands prix, the average gap in the race was 6 tenths. So we shouldn't be surprised if further down the line we see Red Bull pull away. The good thing to consider is that now Red Bull won't be so far ahead of Ferrari and McLaren. Maybe you remember, even before the weekend in Miami I wrote that if the team reduces the gap in the race by at least 3 tenths, in that case at the finish McLaren will be 15-16 seconds behind Red Bull Verstappen. So, in the Miami race at the end of 19 laps Oscar was 3.6 seconds behind Max. Extrapolating that to the whole race, one would have hoped for an 11 second gap at the finish. That's a decent figure, considering Oscar's car had the old underbody, sidepods and engine cover.
Be that as it may, and the updated parts have already proven to be effective. New computing power, wind tunnel, simulator and other tools have proven to work.
Stella reported that they had gotten exactly the numbers they had calculated at the base.
I don't think even Stella can say that based on one weekend, a sprint weekend at that on a track that is not the most representative.
I think that while the teams bringing an upgrade will have an expected gain or expected range based on their computers, I can't see how anyone including McLaren themselves could possibly conclude it is worth x amount based on one weekend.
I think ultimately it'll take 2 or 3 weekends on different tracks and temperatures before the real gain can be measured.
They have other tangible and measurable data. For example, load through certain corners/conditions, top speed, traction (acceleration out of certain target corners), average tire wear ... and more.
The point is, the team definitely knows the improvements in targeted areas. And using simulators, you can get an approximation on laptime gain for a specific track as well. But they will never make that number public. Just knowing that it was within targets, should be a good sign.
The 0.4s number being thrown around is because Zak said Oscar was missing 0.2s to Lando with half the upgrades. You can't make the assumption that the next 50% is going to be worth 0.2s though. He could have had the more impactful of the 50% (let's say, worth 0.3s of laptime around Miami). With the added 0.2s from the missing upgrades, that makes it worth 0.5s around Miami. But at the other end of the spectrum, he might have had a marginal part of the upgrade worth only 0.1s which makes the full upgrade worth 0.3s around Miami.
Anyway, the point is, all this number talk doesn't make much sense because we are lacking a lot of information. Unless McLaren themselves come out with a number, the only reference we have is their performance against competitors, which in Miami, was really good. Let's see how it pans out in the following weekends now.