FittingMechanics wrote: ↑09 Jun 2024, 23:12
Emag wrote: ↑09 Jun 2024, 23:04
FittingMechanics wrote: ↑09 Jun 2024, 23:00
You cherry pick just as much but in the opposite direction. Saying you don't think McLaren can win until next upgrades seems so premature and unobjective that I had to comment about it. We have proof in last bunch of races that they were very close and if there was just slightly better luck, they would have done it.
I don't think I do, but when the worst stints/moments are so significant, it's difficult to ignore them the way some people here do. It's weird to me how people think the first safety car took away a race win here, when in fact, Lando would have been overtaken on track at the end there with the pace he had even if he was P1.
Whether NOR would have won today is hard to say. There was more than one safety car so he would have been bunched up at least and then he would be vulnerable (like Piastri). But he was very hard done by losing such a big gap and then ending up P3. And this wasn't because someone took a risk and SC fell right, it was because race control once again threw a SC just as NOR was passing pit entry (like in Miami). Looking at it objectively on NOR later stints, it is likely that he would have not kept his P1. VER probably had enough, especially with good restarts and DRS.
But I still don't think you are objective. Best example is that you mention free practices in Monaco to prove Leclerc was supposed to be on pole. Free practices mean nothing. You are conservative and pessimistic.
But let's finish it here. We've made our argument.
From the data I have seen, with Leclerc fuc*king off in the distance at the end in Monaco, I firmly believe Ferrari had the better car in Monaco and Oscar nailing a mega lap in quali wouldn't have changed that opinion for me.
I am conservative, because gaps are tight and the car is leaking significant amount of laptime on certain conditions while gaining a lot on others. Any technical person should look into that as a potentially serious weakness of inconsistency instead of solely boosting their confidence based on finishing results (which I admit, is also important and I am sure Andrea Stella is striking the right balance in the background).
I am a fan of this team, but I do not allow personal desires and hope to get in the way of what the true picture looks like. Until they go out on track and be consistently faster than the rest of the field and take the flag 1st with no outside "forces" impacting results, then I will continue to be cautious in my expectations of what is possible for them.
And that's the last bit I wanted to add here.