mwillems wrote: ↑29 Aug 2024, 19:30
catent wrote: ↑29 Aug 2024, 18:15
Seanspeed wrote: ↑29 Aug 2024, 17:04
That just seems very unlikely. It's not that Ferrari got so much terribly slower, and more that Mercedes and especially Mclaren took shockingly big leaps forward. It will be miraculous if Ferrari all the sudden manages the same kind of leap so late on. Mclaren has been faster than Ferrari at every track since Monaco(or arguably Suzuka), and now seem to have the fastest car at like 90% of circuits, so overhauling them is a huge ask. Mercedes is potentially catchable with some improvements as their car is still a little inconsistent.
“Mercedes is potentially catchable”
The same Mercedes that trails Ferrari by 94 points in the WCC?
He's not being hugely clear but appears to be in fact referring to the relative pace of the cars as it stands on current form at the end of his statement I think. but the way it was explained confusingly conflated the WCC performance with cars current performance.
So translated, it would read: Ferrari's car reaching again the pace of Mercedes is maybe possible but Mclaren is too far ahead this season for developments to bring Ferrari to their pace.
I understood the op’s meaning … it’s just that what was said is effectively meaningless (and not necessarily accurate), imo.
What is the window of time for determining pace? The most recent race? The most recent 3 races? 5?
Mercedes had superior pace to Ferrari for 5-6 races prior to summer break. Ferrari had superior pace at Zandvoort.
The analysis is based on snapshots of singular points in time. I don’t buy the notion that Mercedes’ pace advantage over Ferrari is lasting (or even still exists), which the post I was replying to assumes is the case.
If Mercedes is legitimately quicker than Ferrari at Monza, I’ll tip my cap and eat some crow.