I expect engine efficiency to improve due to throttle less engine control, direct fuel injection, turbo charge/compounding, lower friction and other technologies. The scope should be approximately 11% less fuel for the same power output with improved drivability due to a much broader torque curve.
The current V8 figures look like this:
- race fuel 150 kg
- specific energy 46 MJ/kg
- race time 80 min
- top engine power 750 bhp
- power at full throttle (percentage 65% of 750 bhp) -> 488 bhp
- power at off throttle (percentage 15% of 0 bhp) -> 0 bhp
- power at part throttle (percentage 20% of 375 bhp) -> 75 bhp
- average engine power 563 bhp or 420 kW
- race fuel energy 6.9 GJ
- engine power * race time = engine work = 2.02 GJ
- V8 efficiency = 29.3%
- race fuel 133.5 kg
- race fuel energy 6.14 GJ
- L4 (750 bhp) efficiency 32.9%
According to the reports it is not in the plan to keep the 750 bhp of the current engines. Engine power is supposed to go down by 13.3% to 650 bhp. If I keep the same throttle percentages my average engine power decreases to 363.7 kW. This means an engine work of 1.746 GJ. My KERS system supplies 2.2 MJ/lap which gives me another 0.132 GJ race work over a 60 lap race. My total race work including KERS is 1.878 GJ. If I compare that with the V8 I find that I have 7% less work capacity available with the new KERS assisted engine. I obviously have to find that deficit by making my chassis more efficient. The method to do this is cutting down on drag. I'm fairly confident that the chassis designers will be able to close that gap with the ground effect cars.
If I look at fuel use by my downsized and higher efficient engine I find that I need 115 kg to provide 1.746 GJ at 32.9% efficiency. My fuel saving of the turbo L4 with AWKERS is 25% compared to the 2010 cars.
Now I look at the fuel flow rate for my engine. My top engine power is 485 kW which translates into 1474 kW fuel flow or 44 ml/s. This is indeed 10% more than my pessimistic estimate.
The average fuel flow would be 33 ml/s. Of course all this is still very much simplified. The fuel use would not necessarily be proportional to the power and the throttle use.