WhiteBlue wrote:
On top the power figures you quote are for the 168E which had a much higher fuel allowance than the 1988 fuel figure suggest. This cherry picking of figures that are not consistent to the time scale is very misleading.
Lets rectify those data before we come to conclusions.
not sure, where you want to go with that WB, AFAIK the 168E was built for 1988
the data are what Honda has published, I don´t think I cherry picked anything here,
not more then you do in your assumptions and statements normaly anyway.
I think, you want to point out the fact, that in race trim the engine had less power, which is also the case with the current engines.
Today (in pure racing spirit), we spend extented periods of time in fuel saving mode - which is fine with me, no worries, but what´s the difference to 1988?
as for inconsistent and made up figures, let´s talk about your 80s average lap time figures and your 80 min race duration. Where do these figures come from - pulled out of thin air?
Wanna talk about inconsistencies of numbers?
During the discussion you keep moving the goalpost from 115kg fuel for a race to 105kg and now to 97,5kg. Whatever fits your agenda or floats your boat at any given day?
(Remember your single vs. twin/bi turbo statement
)
All fair and good, but where does your 150 kg per race base figure comes from?
Any hard numbers/facts or you make it up as you go?
Sure it is 150 kg ?, maybe it is 160 kg or 170 kg, what makes your guess better then anyone elses?
Maybe RBR/Renault start with 150kg, McL/MGP with 160 kg and Ferrari with 165 kg.
(just random guess, to illustrate the point, no offence intended)
Maybe take a look at some figures from the 2010 season, and rethink some of your assumptions.
I think 92s (1:32,00) average laptime and 95min (1:35:00,000) average race duration are are lot closer to reality then your proposed 1:20,000 laps and 1:20:00,000) races.
What does that say about average power levels during the race for todays cars?
As for the safety and weight sugesstion, sure there is no doubt about the fact, that the current cars are a lot safer then the 1988 cars.
But let´s keep in mind that the 1988 engine was quoted with 146 kg and the min weight was 540kg for the cars.
Now if we take a 2009 car with 600kg and a 95 kg engine, I´m resonable sure, that if you take the ballast out of an 2009 BrawnGP you come close to 550 kg and still having a pretty safe car.
I think it´s perfectly within todays technology to achieve a 540kg car with a I4turbo engine and todays safety standards.
There are some other interesting figures in the Honda paper.
The engine in race mode would make 450kW at max efficiency.
Was that not the figure you had in mind for your 2013 engine?
The San Marino GP in 1988 (from which the posted data´s are) was won in 1:32:41,264 (~92.5 min)by Senna with the McLaren/Honda and went for 60 laps, so the average laptime for a car with ~450kW in race trim was 1:32,727 (~93 sec).
How is that for some numbers ?
And this all with 150 ltr. of fuel and a dinosaurier of turbo engine 23 years ago.
I just borrowed some of your party tricks, and combined this with the numbers Honda has posted 272g/kWh of specific fuel consumption for there 1988 engine.
Where we end up with this numbers (just for giggles, and in good fun & spirit)
So, whats the purpose of all, that?
Just fun !!, and to put some perspective to the FIA targets for 2013.
As I said earlier run the Audi R8 FSI LeMans numbers, and you come in at your target, ~95 kg for a race distance of 300-305 km, with a 900kg open cockpit (but covered wheels) LMP car of 2004/5 and an engine which would last a whole F1 seasons.
Sorry, it doesn´t take my breath away, and I don´t think any of the engine manufactures will lose sleep over these targets.
Yes, it´s better then what we have now, but considering where the Honda engine was 25 years ago, it´s not all that impressive - at least for me.
If this is all what they want (fuel consumption of 65% of 2010 values), I don´t think, we will see any of the "fancy space age technology" (TERS, throttle less operation, HCCI etc.) you would like to see. They can get there without it.
Keep in mind, everybody is talking about cost containment, and nobody wants to p.... way mega $$$$ any more in developments, for a fixed ROI in customer engines.
We will see a modern DI turbo engine, along the lines of the Audi FSI, but not much more IMHO.
Sure better then nothing, but far from cutting edge technology.
We may just end up with a 120-130 ltr fuel tank (for 2013) and the 100kg/h figure will take care of itself.
Combine this ~450kW ICE with your 120kW KERS, which will most likely be restricted to a battery solution, and you have your 2013/15 power train.
BTW, I don´t think, they will run AWKERS, even with only 450kw, you can break traction at the rear at any time (at low speeds), so why make life harder.
If permitted, it´s more likely to see a 120kW electric KERS on the front axle only.
Along the lines of the 911 RSR Hybrid, or next years LMP 1 rules.
The 1988 season, is a good (bad) example, of what can happen, if they let someone run away with a engine/powertrain advantage.
With no refueling, it was one of the most boring seasons in F1 history. (unless you´re a die hard McLaren fan off course
)
So WB, don´t worry I won´t spoil your thread any longer with my ramblings.
All in good spirit and with respect towards you, no offence intended, I just feel that sometimes someone has to play devils advocate, when you run to far away with your wishes for the future of F1.
Let´s just wait and see what will happen, and who from the engine manufacturers will be around in 2013.
enjoy & have fun
I´m happy if all turns out as you have predicted - no problem at all.