dren wrote:raymondu999 wrote:Yes but my point with my last post is; sure Merc would be Hamilton's best option. But would Hamilton be merc's best option? It takes two to tango
I agree there.
If Hamilton has a falling out with Mclaren, he really has no viable options other than Mercedes. I wouldn't want Hamilton on the team. I'd much rather they retain Schumacher for another few years if he is up for the challenge. I wouldn't mind seeing how Hamilton stacks up to Rosberg though. I think Rosberg would get the better of him more often than not.
Mercedes would be better off with some new tallent. They seemed interested in Senna before the Honda pullout. Maybe that would still be an option after Schumacher's contract is up, assuming he retires.
Is Massa contracted for 2012 at Ferrari? That seat is the one of interest. Next year there may not be much of a change, but come 2013, I see a seat at Ferrari and a seat at Red Bull open up and perhaps one at Mercedes.
I foresee a massive change in driver line-up for 2013 as well. 2012 has been pretty much locked up barring major events (for the driver's sake, I hope all manage well enough to make it through 2012 in their respective seats). However, I think many drivers will be retiring and/or giving way to new blood.
Schumi and Barichello ought to call it quits after 2012 since they have the spirit, but not the pace that other drivers could get out of cars in a long-term contract, emphasis
long term contract. Advisory positions, as MS did before at Ferrari, would still be lucrative and competitive positions.
Massa has not been at the top of his form all season. It may be due to his injuries, the formula this year, or simply Alonso is trouncing him into submission. No matter the cause, even if he is the "#2" driver to Alonso, he hasn't been putting in the points that other "#2" drivers like Webber (sigh) or Hamilton/Button (depending on the GP result) are adding to the constructors. He just hasn't been pushing the f150 as much as he could or has before. It is very possible that Ferrari will use 2012 as the grounds for extension or termination.
Webber...(sigh) oh Webber. I believe that he will most likely retire after 2012 because the sideline politicos (i.e. Helmut Marko) have already written him off. I don't think it's a matter of the team, because Mark has consistently given to the team and the amount of camaraderie in that team is really amazing, even between Mark and Sebastian (at least I hope :p). But the higher powers of Red Bull are looking to push their Junior Drivers through STR and RBR since they have to, or else they will have a backlog of vetted drivers from GP2 and the ranks that they will have to do something with. With the regulation changes, 2012 will be for Mark to win. If I were Horner and team (which I am sure I am not), I would push for Mark to win the WDC. Vettel has more seasons in him. Push Mark to retire with his long-sought WDC and allow a new driver take his seat beside Vocket Vettel.
Why do I say that 2012 will see the departure of these drivers? Because of 2014.
With 2014, a whole slew of changes will upend Formula 1 and the cars that entertain us. Those cars, new engines, new regulations, new KERS(!?) will mean that each team needs drivers at the top of their adaptive game. Every team's top drivers will have to be dedicated to communicating with engineers about the feel and balance and performance of the new formula. Vettel, for example, communicates a lot with his engineers, and so is an ideal lock for 2014's technical race. However, if one had to choose between venerated hands built on certain breeds of f1 car, or fresh faces with little to no previous bias, then you want those new eyes and ears to give you a very honest interpretation of performance as well as a faster learning curve. But, you don't want 100% new drivers with no cockpit time. Even one season in a soon-to-be-extinct spec. is vital to garner experience in GP weekends and team integration. So, in preparation for 2014, I expect to see all of the constructors shuffling in new blood in 2013, and the passing of some of my favorite drivers...into legend.
Long post.