turbof1 wrote:I think it also is due to a relative simple aero package at the beginning of the season. They have a very good understanding of the car, which on top of all is mechanically probably the best car out there. It is just a very near design in its core, which helps inmensively when bringing updates. Probably their cfd, simulator and updated windtunnel are by now also state-of-the-art. They can see very early what works and what not.
Given all of that, they have a high correlation between pieces in development and the reality. It is a very streamlined process. Kind of worrying for teams like red bull is that their car is much further up the curve; they will not be able to bring updates that bring as much as improvement as potentially the mercedes' ones can. Imagine how fast mercedes will be once they got to the point they add small vortice generators on the FW.
so as per your assessment, the Merc is so inherently mechanically superior to anything else in the field that it is able to compete with the RBRs and Ferraris despite an inferior aero package.
I think you are giving too little credit to Merc's aero and RBR's mech and too much to Merc's mech and lil vortice gens