Pup wrote:
The only thing I can imagine would be if they've discovered a manufacturing problem that requires new equipment to rectify. For example, if it is a flaw in the crankshaft and it's due to the machines that are making them. Then I could see a 20 week lead time on getting new manufacturing equipment.
Other than that, I agree. 20 weeks is an eternity in F1. I imagine that they have a good chance of clearing up most of the issues by Bahrain. They could always show up with a dud for a fix, but they've got a good chance.
Partially agree with you. I reckon the delay is due to the component lead times of the "new system suppliers" meaning the suppliers of new systems never before used in F1. This may include: both motor/generators (stators, coils, wiring webs), elements of their mechanical integration with the engine (gears, shafts), AC drives and electric converters, batteries.
At this level, the learning curve for every partner involved may be quite steep. Renault could be taking the heat for the whole package, while their 2 tier suppliers may responsible.
I would venture a bet, that not more than 10 cars will finish the first race in Melbourne.