Manoah2u wrote:There is simply NO way in life Alonso would have signed to drive with Mclaren if he wasn't guaranteed that he'd be having a damn good car for the 2015 season.
I can honestly can't think of a way McLaren could have made a promise like the one you are infering in any possible way. Not for 2015. What Mercedes promised Lewis before 2013 for 2014 was very different - everyone knew that in 2014 the 'formula' would change significantly and that aero (RedBull territory) would be less crucial and that engine, a strength of Mercedes, would be a huge, if not the biggest factor. It was on this premise alone that it was easy to believe that Mercedes had a lot of potential going for it. That, and the fact that many engineers were heading to Mercedes.
I'm really not sure what McLaren would have been able to "promise" Fernando, beyond the point that Honda
may have an advantage because they could follow the 2014 season without being restrained by any engine freeze because they weren't part of the championship and therefore not bound by contract like the 3 other engine manufacturers. This, and perhaps that McLaren has a huge operating budget it can throw at. In other words
potential. Beyond that though, I really have no idea what anyone at McLaren could promise while keeping a straight face. There is no significant change in rules going from 2014 into 2015, so there is no huge benefit in coming a year late. Just a lot of catch up. Hence why Fernando, and even Ron has said numerous times that this is a long term project, hence why they wanted to sign Fernando for not only a single year, but multi-year contract.
Fernando signed, not because of any wishful prospects in 2015, but because his relationship at Ferrari was growing stale, the shuffle with Mattiacci didn't help - and after 5 years of driving for the Scuderia, he still hasn't won any WDC. He needed as much a change as did Ferrari. And his options were limited. I don't think McLaren was his first choice - it was more so, his only choice. RedBull didn't want him, neither did Mercedes (since they already have drivers under contract who they are committed to long-term), so the only other team with potential, a big budget and the unknown factor ('Honda'), was McLaren. So, why not risk something, like Lewis did, earn big bucks and have a change of environment?
But promise for "success in 2015" despite the dominance Mercedes showed in 2014 with little changes in the rules? Not a chance in hell. Fernando knew that any success he may or may not have at McLaren is long-term, not short. Sure, no one quite expected them to struggle that much during testing, but McLaren has made some overal good choices (lots of potential) with the signing of Prodromou, restructuring and the Honda factor. But this always going to take a little time.