diffuser wrote:
While I don't disagree with you, I do think you're being a little too pessimistic. If they can finish tomorrow with at least 1 car, I presume that is where they would have hoped to be during the test in Barcelona starting Feb 19. Which puts them about 3-4 weeks behind schedule.
The question is, do they keep improving at this horribly slow rate or is the worst behind them? They MUST speed progress up or ....................
First of all I'm not McLaren supporter but I certainly have a huge respect for the company. Overall it is not my style to make big prediction but in this case I have a hard time to see things going for the team.
1) The competition is in relative terms much more solid then last year on the PU side and it's integration. Reliability should be better and development closer to the mark after having worked the first year within the new rule set.
2) McLaren profited from the best PU last year but was only third-best team not much ahead of a Force India in difficulties.
This was the second year in a row when the
chassis swas not up to the best of the competition which combined with earlier years didn't promise to much for this one.
3) This year the big unknown factor of the
Honda engine was added in to this very basic calculation and the terrible troubles are not only shockingly bad in itself but have also big repercussions on the development of the car. Compared to practially all the other teams far fewer track data could be generated and fed back into the system.
This is a much steeper and bigger mountain then RBR faced which had for the many years at least the second best chassis or, more often, the top one. It's considerable PU troubles happened in a relatively easier environment where also the Ferrari one was inferior. Honda faces the competition in a different state even if it is fundamentally a competitive engine. The sheer complexity in itself and it's interactions*, make failures in many ways likely, puts a big premium on experience of which the others have a lot more.
McLaren is in my humble opinion hugely important to the sport I love so I hope that they will recover quickly. Sadly I fear that in this season it won't be easy to finish overall in the top 6.
*This is of course completely different from older days when the integration of an engine into an F1 car was far easier.