bhall II wrote:mrluke wrote:It would be interesting / valuable to start amending this graph with the key regulation changes at each point in time to try to begin to see some possible correlation and to clearly rule out others.
Ask, and ye shall receive!
Looking at this, the first reaction is to say that refueling has killed overtaking, however that would not explain the consistent decline during the early 90s.
What does stand out is that in the 80s we had 5 different power unit layouts and as the number of layouts decreased so to does the amount of overtaking.
So the point I am going to major on here is that fundamentally overtaking comes from 2 cars having different performance characteristics. The classic scenario being a very powerful but very heavy car vs a low powered but very light car.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cawBXWWgqCI
Chevrolet vs ford escort classic battle. I defy anybody to watch it and claim boredom.
What makes this battle great is that one car is more powerful while the other is much better under braking / in corners. Overall their lap times are pretty similar.
Now Pirelli / DRS got it halfway right. They know that overtaking comes from two cars having different performance over a lap. This is achieved by the sharp drop off of the Pirelli tyres and the lap time difference between the different compounds. It means that over a stint length a mid field car can start at lap record pace and finish as the slowest car on track.
While this allows lots of overtaking, what the fans really want to see is spectacular on track battles. This is only going to happen when two competing cars achieve a very similar lap time but have different strengths over the course of the lap.
And i'm sorry to say but spec racing just gets us further and further from this ideal. Spec racing gets us back to 2004 where all the cars have a performance so similar that it is difficult to overtake. So the next band-aid you would apply would be some sort of regulation change so that the cars design intrinsically favors a following driver, i.e. a car will be slower when it is on its own in open air.
Clearly the teams are going to spend all their time and money fighting this meaning you are into a regulatory wack a mole.
The sporting regulations are now so narrow and so limited that all of the cars make their laptime the same way, some are just more successful. There is no opportunity for somebody to have an NA V12 vs a turbo 6 or for any other worthwhile noticeable difference between the different teams.
We can talk all we want about fan cars, active aero, drum brakes, wooden tyres, impossible to drive cars etc etc. But ultimately if you want close battles you need cars hitting the same laptime but in different ways.