Chuckjr wrote:Was something wrong with Ham's car? Lap 41 he was 2.8 seconds behind Ves, and I'm finding it hard to believe in 12 laps with race mapping and championship on the line, he could not find a way around. Or is red bull now that fast? Nice work from Ves, close but nice. Good sportsmanship from Ham. =D>
I think the main problem was that Red Bull has better acceleration/traction out of slow corners and the final S before the DRS zone was really slow. So Hamilton could not stay close enough on the only part of the track were a pass was "possible".
Another problem might be that Hamilton used up a lot of his tires to close the gap on Verstappen.
One thing more is to look at their lap times:
http://www.f1fanatic.co.uk/2016/10/09/2 ... test-laps/
It does seem like Verstappen did not increase his speed in the last 10 laps.
He just went on driving the same or slower (than lap 43).
He was probably using up his battery/boost at all the overtaking places instead of the optimal places for best lap time. That and the wear on Hamilton's tires probably made it very hard to pass because of the way the Red Bull exited the final S before the DRS straight.
I think Hamilton's only chance was to bluff a pass attempt on the penultimate S, let Verstappen block him in breaking like he did in real race, but be prepared to swerve to the outside and clean air preemptively and go on the outside entering the S. Verstappen's turn would then be compromised on entry (inside line) and exit while Hamilton could compromise his entry on the outside line and keep close to the right curb for longer and then turn left with more distance to the left apex so he could accelerate faster and even be closer to Verstappen. This way he would be right behind him on the DRS straight and pass.