ringo wrote: ↑15 Oct 2017, 02:00
With this year's W08 i can see nothing else but a barnstormer from Hamilton. If it does rain, then a throwback to silverstone 2008. I feel the car is going to love this track. A mercedes 1-2 if its dry, and if it rains, a three way fight with redbull and ferrari with Lewis slightly ahead.
It's at this time in the season hamilton always finishes strongly. The past 3 years have shown that. He will focus until the WDC is his, only then will he relax.
Yeah, Lewis is usually rather strong in the end of the season BUT in the past years that did go paired with a sluggish midseason - something i didn't see this year at all. So i don't think he'll be 'stronger' i just think he'll be as consistant and strong as he has been for a while now.
I think one of the biggest reasons Lewis is staying so strong is that he has less mental drama influencing his races.
Sky had Rosberg for company last GP and it was interesting how he mentioned Lewis is rather sensitive for mental games and that influences his highs and lows. Rosberg knew saying the right things would set him off just enough to start messing up his weekend. Obviously, this is not happening with Bottas (this year atleast).
Vettel then doesn't throw out those mental games like Rosberg did - obviously being in a different team makes that less easy either way. Right now it wouldn't do much anyway as Vettel is the one in the biggest danger and backfoot.
If Vettel is smart he should bomb Hamilton with some mind bombs. If he's smart he should mention that despite his recent run of DNF's and DNS's, and Lewis getting free wins which dont mean anything because he didn't have to fight for it, that even a blind driver would win in a Mercedes and that Bottas isn't competition and that he himself Vettel is still very much in the WDC competition shows just how good of a job Ferrari and he have done, and how much worse Mercedes and Lewis have gotten now that they have to battle underpowered RedBull whilst Ferrari is not in the picture.
If Vettel wants to win this WDC he should go all out war. Bombard Hamilton with dirty low mindgames, get P1 in qually and work on his starts and worry less about turn 1 during the start. IF he gets overtaken in turn 1, just accept that and use momentum and flow back to take back the position, and atleast stay within the DRS window. He can't afford another 1st corner crash. And use kimi to disrupt Mercedes' races. Make sure he gets in between Vettel and Hamilton and compromise Kimi's race for it if that's what's needed. The WCC is out of Ferrari's reach anyway. Now just focus on getting the WDC and if you can get Kimi between Vettel and Hamilton to ruin his race just go for it.
It might get Kimi to finish 6th or 7th in the end, but can make all the difference in getting Vettel a win and at the very best perhaps even bring Hamilton in RedBull territory and see Max or Danny grab p2 from Lewis.
Lewis doesn't want to take risks now so they should really take advantage of that.
Offcourse Lewis wants to win but if it comes down to accepting Vettel gets a P1 instead of getting a DNF, then it's a no-brainer. Then offcourse the risk gets bigger when he needs to yield for Verstappen or Ricciardo for P2, but still, does he want to risk a DNF or worse by only focusing on P2 in Austin instead of the WDC.
It would then however mean Vettel stays firm in the WDC competition, and a P1 for VET and P2 for VER and P3 for HAM would only open up more potential for some mental bombs on Lewis.
Don't get me wrong, i don't think Lewis will fail on this WDC anymore, just stating out what Vettel MUST do to make it.
If Vettel manages to beat him to the WDC though - that would really, really really be something.