alexa wrote: ↑03 Mar 2018, 11:24
That's correct , but it's not like they gonna gain a second in Melbourne.
What is the benchmark to say, it is going to be half a second, one second or 5 seconds?
-In 2017 Australian GP, Alonso did a 1m25.425 in Q2. He was 3.3 seconds behind Lewis, who got the pole.
-On speed trap, Alonso was down by 9 kph, compared to Lewis.
-In 2017 Abu Dhabi GP, Alonso did a 1m38.636 in Q2. He was 2.4 seconds behind Bottas, who got the pole. This was on a power circuit, where Vettel was behind Bottas by 4 tenths!
-On speed trap, Alonso was down by 14 kph, compared to Lewis.
That to me shows, though Honda improved through the season, but it did not contribute to the change in pace difference from Australia to Abu Dhabi. It's purely, the chassis of McLaren. That's 9 tenths gain compared to the leaders!
All the top teams most likely made 1-1.5 seconds gain through the 2017 season.
So, MCL32 (2017 car) if takes part in Melbourne qualifying now, the ultimate time would be around 1m24.0xx.
Ideally, based on past history, they should be able to make another 1-1.5 seconds gain through the winter (chassis regulations still being immature, should then be more).
So, MCL33 should be able to do 1m22.5xx, with the Honda engine from Abu Dhabi.
Now we need to see, what time would MCL33 does in Melbourne, WITH RENAULT engine. That to me would be reference. Whatever they do in Barcelona testing, is totally irrelevant.