Wynters wrote: ↑27 Sep 2019, 22:26
zibby43 wrote: ↑27 Sep 2019, 21:15
We can parse words, but when Toto is admitting that they didn’t put enough effort into the car, and the last visible update on the car was Germany, I don’t think it’s a stretch to say they stopped development of the car too early.
We'll only know at the end of the season, but if they win each Championship by a point, then they'll have judged it perfectly and got a head start of pouring resources into future performance. Of course, if they get overhauled then, yeah, they've boned themselves.
Yeah, I think my earlier comment was interpreted as hand-wringing by dans79. That's probably my fault, because I could've included the quote/article I was paraphrasing and extrapolating from in that original post.
I still stand by comment that Merc is unlikely to grab a pole or race win on pure merit with their current package. Superior race pace isn't a silver bullet, and the race pace advantage over Ferrari is dwindling. It was about 0.5 sec in Singapore; it's down to 0.3 sec in Sochi. A race pace advantage is only beneficial if you A) can pass on straights; B) have a big enough pace/tire advantage that you have legitimate strategical options in the race.
Merc have to be concerned. When you hear Toto and the engineers saying things like: "We're too slow and
don't know why. Now we have to catch up and acknowledge that the others are doing a good job. If we are honest with ourselves, then we are only the third best in Sochi."
Being slow is a problem, but it's fixable. Not knowing why you're slow complicates that.
The fact that Merc slowed down development on the W10 to the extent that they did signals to me that Merc are changing up their concept fairly significantly in 2020. They desperately need a more efficient car, aerodynamically. They need to be able to figure out how to be kind to the tires via suspension kinematics (perhaps that's why we're seeing the new suspension with Belleville washers).