GPR-A wrote: ↑15 Aug 2020, 13:11
Phil wrote: ↑15 Aug 2020, 12:21
It’s going to be fascinating.
The car with potentially better tire wear starting behind the two Mercedes.
From RedBulls POV, how do you beat the cars in front on a track where overtaking is difficult?
Answer: do something they cant. Go for a one stop. Of course Mercedes will try to cover that off by doing the same, but if Max can be close, they could do an undercut and at least get by one of the Mercs. If Mercedes has more wear relative to the RedBull, they may not be able to break free.
What works in Mercedes favor is that they have two cars potentially ahead at the start. One could protect the other. The problem; they may not do that, because both their drivers are in the WDC race.
I find this amusing. That Red Bull has shown better tyre life than Mercedes, for all of one race! One race with anomalous variables. For the whole of last season, it was Mercedes that has been the better race car with greater tyre life. It was the same for the first 4 races too of this season. One should wait for a few more races before getting to the conclusion that, Red Bull is the car with better tyre wear.
That's why I used the word
potentially. Could be, doesn't have to be. If it is however, it makes for some interesting speculation about how a potentially quicker car might go about the race on a track that is notoriously difficult to overtake on. And what the cars who have track position might be able to do, to defend.
Personally, I think a Mercedes will win this race and RedBull, assuming they do have better wear, will split them, because Mercedes can't defend the position of both their drivers IMO.
Another point is if the car starting in 2nd could have a tow and could get ahead at the start or if the car starting on pole can make it stick.