DChemTech wrote: ↑30 Oct 2020, 10:39
In today's completely incomprehensible news, it seems Alfa/Ferrari is maintaining tank-slapper Gio for next year, thus reducing the number of seats available for actually talented Ferrari juniors...
it makes sense to keep things stable and dont take unneccesary steps when 2022 will see design change and as such, its for the most part illogical to have debutants for 2021, with some exceptions aside.
the confirmation of gio and kimi means any Ferrari academy debutants will be limited to Haas. There's still the possibility there will be no new debutants at all. Let's face it, RBR - even though unlikely - could simply keep Max-Alex and AT could keep Danil and Pierre. Perez could move to Haas, and so could Hulk.
Either way, since Williams says nothing will change, aswell as AT with Gasly, there are 'only' 4 seats left.
1 @ RedBull, but that will stay unconfirmed untill after this weekend's results. If for some reason, Albon has stellar Qually, and perhaps even WINS this weekend's GP, or atleast finishes on the podium, then his 'execution' will be awaited another race longer. If he then performs well too, he could have just about made it for 2021. However, if he underperforms this weekend, it's adios for the RBR seat, and it's either Alpha Tauri to replace Kvyat, or completely out and see Tsunoda enter @ AT, still leaving the RBR seat open.
Perez there will likely result in Haas with Mick, and Mazepin for the moneyz.
I'd concider RBR would opt for Perez over Hulk, so that's the most likely scenario.
However, I am still expecting Perez @ Haas with Mick alongside him, as Perez' Carlos Slim backing will bring loads of precious dollars to HAAS, Probably BWT will move with him to HAAS, and Schumacher will bring Ferrari discounts.
In every case it's a better deal for Haas.
I'd expect in that case, that Hulk will be alongside Max for 2021 unless Albon suddenly finds his feet and goes like fire.
One thing seems most likely though:
Grosjean, OUT.
Magnussen, OUT.
Kvyat, OUT.
Still, i would be surprised to see Kvyat out and no other Russian in F1 for 2021, and I think it's very slim chance that Kvyat will retain his seat for 2021.
SO, that would most likely mean the surprising debut of Mick AND Nikita Mazepin @ Haas, with Perez @ RBR, and Albon @ AT - or perhaps, still.....Albon out alongside G,M & K and see Tsunoda take Kvyat's seat.