FDD wrote: ↑22 Dec 2020, 00:39
godlameroso wrote: ↑21 Dec 2020, 23:35
FDD wrote: ↑19 Dec 2020, 22:26
According to ChronoGP Ferrari plans to increase the power of the engine for 50 HP.
So it would be 2019 power + ~10hp. That would mean Ferrari would essentially gain 1.6 seconds over 2020, or about half a second over 2019, or dead even with 2020 Mercedes. Ferrari claimed their chassis was .5 seconds faster because of the aero, but it lost over a second from the engine. So to regain that, plus a bit on top, and if they improve the chassis despite the downforce sapping regulations, then they should take a nice jump forward.
Mercedes is claiming to bring 30hp and this year's engine could certainly match 2019 Ferrari. So power unit gap will be roughly 20hp or just over what Honda was missing to Mercedes this year. Possibly less, possibly more.
According to some GPS data Ferrari was about 45 HP over MERC last year (in party mode, Ferrari's name for this is K1 or K2 if I am right) and this year they were 45 HP down on MERC in peak power, also according to GPS data. I think (not sure) that MERC gain this year about 20 HP so Ferrari lost about 70 HP in respect to their power from 2019. Keep on mind that this data is questionable, but possibly pretty accurate especially when I remember the moments of racing Leclearc-Hamilton in Monza on the main straight last year, Hamilton can not overtake him even with DRS enabled.
20-30hp seems to be about right for Mercedes gains over 2019-2020, and they're expected to bring another 20-30hp next year.
If you're right and Ferrari were 45hp down on Mercedes in 2020, and they gain 50, that means they'll be missing 10-20hp, or roughly the deficit that Honda had to Mercedes this year, BUT, the Ferrari chassis does not have the same level of downforce as the Red Bull or Mercedes yet. They will have to bank on that to close the gap, and their one engine upgrade in season.
They should improve nicely, and they'll probably be fast on some tracks but not so fast on others. A 50hp gain would be around .6-.7 second improvement all else equal, that would have put them on the front row at Eifel GP but third row at Monza.