Spacepace wrote: ↑20 Jun 2021, 17:52
Mr.S wrote: ↑20 Jun 2021, 17:44
Spacepace wrote: ↑20 Jun 2021, 17:29
He's referring to leaving Hamilton out for an extra lap allowing Verstappen to have an undercut. Pitting Bottas for whatever the reason was, Merc should've known that would trigger Verstappen to pit. Your only choice at this point is to bring Hamilton in the lap after Bottas to cover off Verstappen and Bottas respectively. Mercedes were hoping Bottas would get past Verstappen after the stop. Then pit Hamilton so it would be a 1-2. That didn't happen. They underestimated the undercut today probably from being short sighted by thinking a 1 stop was possible. But that strategy was probably cooked up thinking Verstappen would have been leading. They need to make better calls on the fly. Hindsight is 20 20. But I know I and a few other's watching were thinking they'd be pitting Hamilton immediately after Bottas. The other mistake was not getting the undercut on the second stop and being forced to go back to strategy A and go long. It looked amateurish and was due in result of relying on data instead of instincts
Bottas made 3s on his 1st lap with the Hard Tyres. The sector times were coming & Mercedes should absolutely have pitted Hamilton. In the end, Hamilton lost by only 3s.
They could have went with a Bottas 2 stop strategy, the lap after Max. Bottas pitted earliest. His tyres were 7 laps older & he was vulnerable to Perez who is known for good tyre management. They could have asked Bottas to hunt RB. It is likely that Mercedes would have had less degradation than RB on Medium/Hard anyways. They kept Bottas out so that he can hold off Max for 2-3 laps to help Lewis win. Bottas himself asked for a 2 stopper & he stopped quite early. All this is Hindsight.
Yeah that is how I see it as well. Like I said I think Merc were looking at data instead of reacting to what was unfolding on track. Bottas was setting fast sectors comparable to Hamilton and Verstappen. I don't understand how the commentators pick up on these things faster than the strategists. Are they looking at data and projections? If so I would imagine that it creates a big disconnect and you easily get lost in the data
I think Monaco was clear there will be an overcut. Here,I think when Ricciardo pitted & got so much more quicker, it was clearly evident. And I think others pitted after that & everyone gained 2-3s atleast. Given how low the gap is & 0 chances of an overcut, I don't think anyone would risk an undercut. Another interesting thing is that the Hards didn't work well & certainly offered no more durability than the Mediums. Norris' stretched his Mediums & he turned out a good race. Same with Perez. After a while, the Mediums degraded less than expected. The green track was possibly a reason why people struggled more in the 1st stint. But with a 1 stopper, people who went long in the 1st stint did better. Norris, how on earth he went this long & stayed ahead of Riccardo when both were on the Hards which is supposed to durable is beyond me.
Pirellis's tyre thing is very difficult to predict.