I think this is a great question, by the way, although I think it will be almost impossible to answer. My first thought was to compare this years RB7 lap time at Australia to last years MP4-25 fastest qualifying lap. Now I compare these two because the MP4-25 had a non-blown second-gen double diffuser and (importantly) the f-duct which could be seen as equivalent to DRS (for qualifying). The RB7 is the best example of an EDB car in 2011. So the results
RB7 (2011): 1:23.529
MP4-25 (2010): 1:24.675
Note, also, that the blown DDD of the RB6 set a lap time in 2010 of 1:23.919 for pole.
Also interesting is that this years EDB cars are faster than last years DDD non-blown and blown cars. The caveat to that is that you'd probably expect (with static rules) that the cars would gain a second a lap over a years development. So you could argue that the DDD MP4-25 would have set a 1.23.5 (ish) in Australia after a years development.
Then chuck the new tyres into the equation and who knows!!!