Hammerfist wrote: ↑13 Jun 2023, 03:16
ValeVida46 wrote: ↑12 Jun 2023, 08:52
Hammerfist wrote: ↑11 Jun 2023, 16:43
Imo they need to aim to beat rbr on pace by the end of the year. Rbr will probably stop bringing upgrades soon and their cost cap penalty should affect their performance on track at the end of the year. If Merc can’t catch them in these circumstances then you can already forget about 2024.
If it happens great, but wholly unrealistic in my opinion. In season development is stifled for everyone under the Budget cap, and RB are 1 second up the road.
Even with Red Bull cost cap penalty, that does not stop them from bringing updates themselves. But the championship is already a foregone conclusion so their focus will be for next year to consolidate the gap.
Factor in the compromises Merc have to make with the chassis optimised for a different concept, and the limitations placed on progress relative to RB are apparent.
If you have a penalty that restricts your wind tunnel time whilst your leading the championship by a mile you’re not going to apply precious wind tunnel time to the concept that has already won. You allocate that time to next year. This is why I think Redbull in the second half will be vulnerable. Merc has no such concerns and whatever works on this years car will apply to next year. They cannot afford to stop developing this years car early. They are currently behind. If they’re ever gonna catch Redbull we will find out after the summer break. I don’t see how that’s so unrealistic.
They can’t catch Red Bull let’s be real!
And that’s got to do with them starting the season almost 1 second off! They can’t claw back so much performance with in season upgrades! We aren’t in 2009 where teams bolted on the double diffuser for the first time and their car went 0,5 seconds quicker instantly!
There isn’t a magic bullet Mercedes can bring to their car to make it 0,5-0,7 seconds quicker! After all their chassis and rear suspension are designed around the old concept, so any updates won’t bring as much performance as changing these two alone!
All I’m hoping for is that they’ve at least got a proper development direction for next year that gets them to within 0,1-0,3 of Red Bull, which will still be remarkable considering the amount of time Red Bull has spent on their own concept since 2022!
I hope for some Red Bull “bad luck” at least that will gave us a win or two! Maybe a Brazil one off like last year may be on the cards…