But the response didn't reflect that.catent wrote: ↑29 Aug 2024, 22:53I understood the op’s meaning … it’s just that what was said is effectively meaningless, imo.mwillems wrote: ↑29 Aug 2024, 19:30He's not being hugely clear but appears to be in fact referring to the relative pace of the cars as it stands on current form at the end of his statement I think. but the way it was explained confusingly conflated the WCC performance with cars current performance.
So translated, it would read: Ferrari's car reaching again the pace of Mercedes is maybe possible but Mclaren is too far ahead this season for developments to bring Ferrari to their pace.
What is the window of time for determining pace? The most recent race? The most recent 3 races? 5?
Mercedes had superior pace to Ferrari for 5-6 races prior to summer break. Ferrari had superior pace at Zandvoort.
We’re just looking at snapshots from a point in time. Every race is scored, not just a handful of 5-6 races in May-July. I don’t buy the notion that Mercedes’ pace advantage is lasting (or even still exists), which the post I was replying to assumes is the case.
If Mercedes is legitimately quicker than Ferrari at Monza, I’ll tip my cap and eat some crow.
Yes I'd say one race doesn't change the fact that Mercedes look legitimately quicker than Ferrari right now. Any forecast for the future is opinion. 5 or 6 races is more than enough to determine current form.
Ultimately I don't agree with Seanspeed, the gaps are not that big and Ferrari can get back in front.
Ferrari doing well at Monza will begin to shift that form book, and they are capable of doing well. But right now they look like the 4th fastest car for the time being.
But as far as I'm aware, this was never about who will be faster at Monza, it was about the work Ferrari have to do to be considered as contenders for wins again. I'm not sure which was the last race anyone thought they are in contention for a win. So please don't eat any crow on my behalf.
