ringo wrote:I'll put these time gaps here, since it's relevant to the pace of the car. This is for valencia; the first 10 laps. Unfortunately the SC meant Alonso was not able to focus on his race and he was in traffic, so we can only use the first 10 laps to really get an idea of the pace. The cars are heavy so it reflects well on the overall performance of the cars. These are the gaps. The time data are in the race thread.
button Alonso_____hamilton alonso
0.02______________-0.01
0.419______________-0.708
1.146______________-0.187
-0.098_____________-0.59
0.943______________0.04
0.849______________0.364
0.692______________0.221
0.6________________0.33
16.997_____________0.197
Alonso is mostly faster than button here, even though button was racing kubica and webber in the first lap. Looking on the gap to hamilton, Alonso is faster from lap 5 till the accident; Hamilton's wing was broken as well.
The ferrari is not slower than the Mclaren and the new diffuser system may be more developed for the next race.
I think the f10 was the quicker car here, taking into account Button to Alonso's pace. Hamilton was still faster with the broken wing and then he slowed, so his times are not a good base, his driving is also exceptional at low fuel since he gets up to speed quickly.
Mclaren can't be complacent, they need the update at silverstone. Ferrari are yet to stretch the new f10s legs for us to write them off. And i am not even a ferrari fan, but those opening laps seemed convincing to me that mclaren will have a tough race in silverstone if the update does not bring the gains.
And the comparison between Button and Massa? Or does that not give the result you want?
Regardless of that comparison you cannot compare the two cars for only the opening 10 laps - field spread and traffic have to be taken into account, and one of the McLarens was damaged making comparison meaningless.
The Ferrari looked good in Q1 and Q2 but was suddenly nowhere in Q3 (relatively) when McLaren and Red Bull really stepped up to the plate. In the race Alonso had good pace in the opening stint behind a damaged McLaren but then made little impression on the hard tyres in the second stint. He admitted that the car didn't work well in the second stint. Let's not forget that he only made it past one car and that he was unable to defend against the Sauber at the end of the race - admittedly Koby had new tyres which provided him with a large advantage, but at that stage of the race the McLaren was setting faster laps than the Sauber so if Alonso really had good pace on the hard tyres he should have been able to defend.
Back on to the subject of the thread, Silverstone is hugely important for McLaren but not make or break. We've seen Mercedes and Ferrari both release their massive updates that were supposed to take both cars back to the front - Ferrari got closer but not close enough and Mercedes seemed to go backwards which was hopefully just an anomalous result .
With this update McLaren must hope to challenge Red Bull at Silverstone. If they can at least run them close then they have a good chance of beating them throughout the rest of the year. However it may take them a couple of races to fine tune their new exhaust system and truly get the most from it - which is why I don't think it's completely make or break for them at this race.