About the OPO being possibly better than OOP, lets revisit some 2014 data:
posted by Stradivarus in the 2014 topic:
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Rosberg Hamilton Gap
17 1:41.455 17 1:41.802 0.550
18 1:42.587 18 1:42.621 0.516
19 1:43.965 19 P 1:46.545 -2.064
20 1:41.442 20 1:59.311 -19.933
21 P 1:44.439 21 1:39.765 -15.259
22 2:01.019 22 1:39.666 6.094
23 1:39.886 23 1:40.357 5.623
24 1:40.178 24 1:39.743 6.058
Taken from www.fia.com
Unfortunately that's all the data I can find. However, on lap 24,
Rosberg got the message "So you’re currently quicker than Lewis. You’re on mediums, he’s on softs. So remember, looking after the tyres on the stint.". This graphic is also helpful:
It shows crucially, that Rosberg was slightly slower between lap 25 and 38 (before the yellow and consequent safety car period), but not to the extend everyone was expecting. From the above data, we can deduct that at the beginning of that stint, the gap was somewhere between 6 seconds.
At the end of the stint and before the safety car, he extended this gap to ~10 seconds.
So easy simple math; Lap 24 gap 6 seconds - to lap 38 gap ~10 seconds, so we have a difference of 4/14 = ~.289s per lap. This is of course, Hamilton conserving his options to extend the life of his tyres and keep wear at a minumum and Rosberg simply driving on the more durable tyre. If I recall correctly and accoarding to Wikipedia, the option-tyre was estimated to be around ~1 second a lap faster than the prime. This stint showed that for whatever reason, Hamilton was only ~.289s per lap quicker, either because he was conserving them, or because the prime tyre held up better under the conditions.
Now, lets fast forward to 2015 and compare Kimi and Lewis, both running in clean air on different tyres and similar circumstances - the former conserving and the latter using the prime tyres as intended:
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Hamilton Raikoennen Gap
15 PIT 15 1:40.973
16 IN-LAP 16 1:40.898
17 1:38.145 17 PIT
18 1:39.061 18 IN-LAP
##################################################
19 1:39.284 19 1:38.403 13.073
20 1:39.394 20 1:38.688 12.367
21 1:38.819 21 1:39.193 12.741
22 1:39.023 22 1:39.013
23 1:39.085 23 1:38.986
24 1:39.161 24 1:39.017
25 1:38.919 25 1:39.101
26 1:39.185 26 1:39.171
27 1:39.408 27 1:39.398
28 1:39.356 28 1:39.389
29 1:39.453 29 1:39.606
30 1:39.533 30 1:39.733
31 1:39.451 31 1:39.995 13.576
32 1:39.551 32 1:39.565 13.590
##################################################
33 PIT 33 1:39.509
34 IN-LAP 34 1:39.450
35 1:38.217 35 1:39.632
36 1:38.242 36 1:39.884
37 1:37.906 37 1:39.591
38 1:37.857 38 1:39.665
39 1:39.009 39 1:40.684
40 1:39.291 40 PIT
If we look at this data, during the time Hamilton was on his 2nd stint, without the pit and in/out laps, he and Kimi were give or take exactly as quick as each other. Lap 19 the gap was 13.073, Lap 32, the gap was 13.590 - so Kimi lost over those 13 laps half a second.
0.5 / 13 laps = 0.038s per lap Hamilton was quicker.
Now, of course, Hamilton was in the lead and conserving his tyres. Right until the moment he pitted (to cover the undercut from Vettel), he was doing consistent 1:39.5 laps. This shows clearly that Mercedes was reacting to what Ferrari was doing and pitting before they had to. We can deduct from this that Mercedes either had the pace to run longer than they did, or do quicker lap deltas for a shorter stint. The conclusion therefore is that Hamilton was not driving to either the tyres limit and had more pace, but it also shows that the prime tyre held up very well, as it already did in 2014 when Rosberg was on it vs. Hamilton who wasn't.
Was OPO better than OOP? Hard to tell, because you are always going to compare it with the leader driving in a conserving manner to be maximize his stint and be able to react. I think the above data clearly highlights that OPO is not necessarely slower than OOP on this track. By using the option tyre on the last stint, you have the benefit that you can really use them on a light car - however using them on your first or 2nd stint, you will have to drive with minimum wear in mind to not cut your stints too short.
IMO this also concludes that Mercedes did not have worse pace or worse tyre wear than Ferrari. Comparing equal stints to equal stints on equal tyres (Rosberg vs Hamilton vs Vettel), Mercedes could match pace and stint with Ferrari. Comparing it to Kimi is difficult because he wasn't on identical tyres after the 2nd stint, so any comparison is always going to be a wash.