basti313 wrote: ↑19 Apr 2017, 13:04
Phil wrote: ↑19 Apr 2017, 12:29
George-Jung wrote: ↑18 Apr 2017, 20:20
Than basically you say that Vettel is just lucky to have won the race- excluding all the hard work that has been done over the last couple of months by the Scuderia..
I think the argument has a lot to do with perception. Who had track position? How quick are the relative cars? There is still a perception that the Mercedes is the car to beat - highlighted by the advantage in QF and the fact that it is still quick enough for race wins. .......
I think they are very close to each other as long Merc is not running the highest engine mode. That said: With the Q advantage due to the engine Merc can easily get 1-2 Qs if Bot can sort his pace out and everything is running normal. A normal race start and Vet will be behind the blocking car, no chance to overtake on a usual circuit and the prime car disappearing.
Oz was different to normal due to Vet running in P2 after the start.
Bahrain was different to normal with Vet in P2 and the prime car even further behind.
It is pure statistics, that usually everything runs normal, so Ham has a clear advantage this season as long as Ferrari can not overcome the 0.5sec Q disadvantage (maybe 0.3 compared to Bot).
Thats some pretty fuzzy math you're using there to predict this half a second that mercedes has in qualifying trim.
Australia= Ferrari .268 behind
China = Ferrari .168 behind
bahrain = Ferrari .478 behind...The claim here is that Ferrari disregarded quali setup to protect their tires in the race which they went on to win.
thats an average of 3 tenths behind the polesitter that Ferrari has been so far this year.
3 races with 2 race wins and a second for Ferrari but Mercedes has a clear advantage??? really?
Then we have this perception that mercedes can outdevelop anybody... based on what? being a frontrunner for the past 3 years with no competition to speak of? i submit that mercedes had such a large margin that its next to impossible to make any claim that they can outdevelop anyone in a straight fight.
what i can tell you is that every single time that any team in the past 4 years have been fortunate to put pressure on mercedes they have folded like a cheap suit and made mistakes...