Yes him taking a grid penalty in only the 2nd race was awfully lucky.Brenton wrote: ↑13 Apr 2018, 13:30I swear I'd be a Hamilton fan if not for how incredibly lucky he is, it frustrates me. Last week another example... Not only do most of his competition that qualified in front of him dnf, his tire somehow was fine from rubbing against a rivals tire that went flat. Vettel's behavior at Mexico and Baku disgusted me but my heart cheers him on because I don't want to see Mercedes dominate any more. I'm dumb, I know.FLuidd wrote: ↑12 Apr 2018, 21:51The only thing that goes Mercedes way in China is the cooler temperatures because Mercedes can turn on the tyres faster than other teams, they might choose to run the mediums again in the race in the cold conditions.
Ferrari it seems that have the upper hand in the 2 straights in China, but might struggle in the twisty section.
So in essence there are reasons to feel upbeat about Hamilton this week, but I would start praying they bring updates when the European Season starts since they are lacking behind Ferrari in fast circuits where top speed is important.
Needless to say that if Hamilton fails to convert this race into a win or worse to end up behind Vettel... then his championship chances are dropping.
Last but not least let us no forget that Hamiltons last DNF was in 2 October 2016 at Sepang and as time and each race passes the DNF monster will start hunting you down, even so, Hamilton has been extremely lucky in 2017 to have no mechanical, tyre failures or collisions... believe me his luck will eventually run out. ( i am looking at you MAX )
But regarding his championship chances. The bookies are giving him a large majority odds for pole and victory, and is dominant favorite for the WDC. Mercedes are almost certainly getting the WCC according to the books. We may all be overly optimistic about this weekend being a close race.
As I assume was him losing a lead in which he was cruising due to a VSC in the 1st race.
If that's supposed good luck I'd hate to see bad luck.