Schuttelberg wrote: ↑22 Jul 2018, 23:49
Phil wrote: ↑22 Jul 2018, 23:46
Personally i am not that critical of Vettel. Being 1st and leading a GP is always a very difficult position. From 1st, you can only go backwards. Getting the perfect balance between risk and reward is hard; risk too much, you risk throwing it away, play it safe, well you might lose too. Vettel was being too cautious because he needed to and because he had the most to lose. This likely caused him to lose tire temps that led to less grip and his eventual mistake and crash. Hamilton on the other hand, well he was driving like someone with little to lose, was aggressive and maintained a lot of heat in his tires.
Completely disagree. Vettel did something metronomically dumb today. In the 5 laps leading up to his crash, he extended his gap to Raikkonen from 3 to 10 seconds. He was just pushing too hard and I have no idea why? It almost felt like he was trying to prove an unnecessary point!
A part of me has a feeling he did
not like being held up by Raikkonen for that long. It's not the first time he would have lost his hot head and done something daft.
The gap extension was predominantly related to the tyres. Raikkonen was on much older Softs, and would have been far more heavily influenced by changes in temperature and moisture; saying nothing for his tendency to be cautious in slippery conditions. I don't think Vettel was pushing unduly hard given the circumstances.
Coupled to the fact that Bottas was becoming a threat, and Hamilton most definitely was a threat, I understand why he felt the need to push a bit. Unfortunately, the manner in which he responded to the pressure, as measured by the outcome, was sub-optimal. That's racing.
As I've commented already, I think Ferrari should shoulder some of the blame for this situation. My reasons being:
- They should have let Vettel past Raikkonen 3 or 4 laps earlier.
- Vettel would have been a further 2-3 seconds up the road of Bottas.
- They committed Raikkonen to a 2 stop, but didn't follow through with it in an optimal manner.
- They should have brought Raikkonen in 1 lap after Hamilton, putting him onto Ultras.
- Raikkonen would have covered off Hamilton, and begun to put pressure on Bottas from behind.
- Ferrari would have had the luxury of the lead, and their 2nd driver on the fastest tyres.
- Ferrari as a team would have been optimally placed to win across a wider range of circumstances, and Vettel himself would have been under less intense pressure at the end, as Kimi could have acted as a barrier to Hamilton, much like Bottas was to Raikkonen.
- And in the event of absolutely 'desperate' circumstances, Raikkonen could have secured the win to prevent Hamilton doing so.
By focusing with myopic intensity on their lead driver's strategy, to the absolute detriment of #2 and the team overall, they inadvertently put Vettel under more pressure.