Although I absolutely applaud Sebs result in qualy here last year (not only the result, but also the determination with which he achieved that, it was impressive) I do feel he took much risk. If I remember correctly he had 2 big wall brushes. It could have ended in tears. And well, like you also said, it did end in tears already at the start where he continued to take very large risks. At some points the odds stop favouring you.
this year Fer has made a big step in power (and chassis likely as well) RBR will not be as close. I expect a fight directly with Ham in the Merc (who have made an almost equally big power jump).
https://www.auto-motor-und-sport.de/for ... toren-leis tung-ferrari-10-ps-vor-mercedes/