I don't think Charles ever had it in the bag. I think assumption is a sin in sport analysis. While I was watching live with my wife, I told her that Charles is really risking it a lot. I could just feel it and as is often the case with Lewis, I told her he would gobble up the deficit in Q3. I think Seb has said already that he was pacing himself and in general, he ramps up the lap times in Q3, much like Lewis. I think, Ferrari made a blunder by sending both drivers out on M tyres and I think they missed pole with either driver in Q3 because Charles was not in it. A tow would have helped both drivers.Phil wrote: ↑27 Apr 2019, 17:36Damn, you're right. I somehow got the two mixed up. Then Hamilton just really gave it away himself in S1, well done to Bottas then. I really think though that Leclerc would have had this one in the bag. Easily. He was consistently quicker than Vettel throughout the weekend on pretty much all runs until he binned it and I think he would have aced it in Q3.Schuttelberg wrote: ↑27 Apr 2019, 17:11Bottas was behind Hamilton on both runs and Hamilton benefitted a lot on the first run from the tow.
Mercedes was extremely close though, but I think both their cars were profiting of a tow vs Ferrari who didn't? The temperature just might have helped them too. Anyway, I stand by my predictions - I don't think Bottas will hold his position to win the race. And statistically, I don't think anyone since Rosberg has been able to converted a pole position into a win here. Just too much that can happen and once there's a safety car, keeping that position on the restart with that long straight is incredibly tough and difficult.
I am sure about one thing- Ferrari, is NOT 0.7 faster than Mercedes. They're at BEST, even Stevens.