damager21 wrote: ↑13 Jul 2019, 19:52
rogazilla wrote: ↑13 Jul 2019, 19:30
Looks like the car is working the tires as hot as Austria and now on the colder side. Interesting in q3 my guess as temp rises no one was setting faster time. Tires and temp will play a huge deal and if it is hot Ferrari will likely struggle. We saw their soft hardly last a full lap in practice and VET starts on soft is probably not going to do well if temp don’t work out. Merc race pace is head and shoulder a sec faster than rbr. We will see who take cares of tires better.
Long stint pace in FP2 looked like a sec down on Mercedes but that does not mean that in race it will be the same. As compared to Mercedes & Ferrari, Red Bull tends to drive heavy with engine dialed down more during during FP. Can be verified looking at past races this season. Same was seen in Austria as well
Weather forecast is of No rain tomorrow with slightly cooler condition than today
Can't tell if the gaps are correct in FP. Remember fuel levels, practice engines and gearboxes, unoptimized setups can mask a car's true pace.
I knew qualifying was going to be close because Verstappen is still a few tenths faster than his team mate, and qualifying proved that to be the case.
I think even if Mercedes has a pace advantage, it won't make a difference if the tires don't hold up. It's a long race and the medium will start going off after 17 laps, and be really slow after ~28. The hard is too slow, so it's either an aggressive 2 stopper or manage the pace with the tires.
The big monkey wrench would be an impromptu safety car or virtual safety car. Then you have to defend, as well as making the choice for fresh rubber or track position.